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Opinion | How Joe Biden could win in 2024

And Mr. Trump is only the beginning of the Republican Party’s problems. Voters have grown increasingly supportive of abortion rights in recent years. After the Supreme Court overturned the Roe v. Wade decision, election after election provided evidence. Republicans, however, have yet to provide an answer — and in some ways, they seem to be making the problem worse. This month, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signed into law a six-week abortion ban that would prevent many women from having abortions before they even know they are pregnant. Candidates and likely contenders, including former Vice President Mike Pence, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, have backed the measure to be implemented nationwide. Extreme anti-abortion measures – Upending years of Republican claims that abortion should be “reserved” for America. “

There is no sign that abortion is becoming a top issue among voters. This month, liberals won control of the Wisconsin Supreme Court for the first time in more than a decade after Judge Janet Protasiewicz won an 11-point victory in a campaign focused on abortion rights and right-wing extremism right.

A key part of Mr. Biden’s appeal to Democrats is that he will not be as divisive as Mr. Trump. Despite Mr Biden’s declining approval ratings, in the 2022 midterm elections we see that voting against the president is not a great incentive for many Americans (compared to 2018, when voting against Trump Mister is an important motivator).

If these trends continue, Democratic voters will continue to have an incentive to vote against the extremist Republican Party — and Democrats will have a good chance of winning key independent blocs.

President Biden and his team still have work to do to solidify his support ahead of the election. It starts with a debt-ceiling showdown with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in the House, where Republican maneuvers threaten the nation’s credit rating and could drive up mortgage, student loan and auto repayment rates for Americans. The question is tailor-made to play to Mr. Biden’s core strengths — a capable, steady man in an otherwise chaotic political system.

The Biden team also needs to do more to communicate to voters what he accomplished in his first term and what is at stake over the next four years. The effort will focus specifically on swing state voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia, and will highlight progress in key areas such as infrastructure, manufacturing and job creation.

Mr. Biden’s announcement video provides a preview of what we’ll be hearing from him over the next 18 months, and the subsequent four years if he’s re-elected: He is a defender of democracy and a protector of Americans’ personal freedoms and rights , including the right of Americans to make their own decisions about their reproductive health, to vote, and to marry the ones they love. The video combines images of chaos on Jan. 6, abortion protests outside the Supreme Court and Republican agitators such as Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene with Mr. Biden embracing and embracing Americans from all walks of life. Healthy videos of holding hands are juxtaposed.

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